Hey Jim,
Just curious if you have ever thought about making a book of shooting and hunting tips and tricks. I have some shooting tips and tricks books but they feel like they have very beginner info. I want something with more detailed info.
Iāve written books before in my previous businesses. I am a voracious reader so I love books but there is just no business left in the book industry. It ends up being a labor of love.
Makes sense, I juat thought id throw it out there incase you hadnāt thought of it before.
This dovetails with the AI conversation we were having. A real hunting app thatās built and has attachments to the rag of your intelligence and mindware around any of these issues, whether itās:
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setting up guns and rifles
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reloading strategies
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out-in-the-field tests
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configurations and zeroing
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everything
Using all the gear and all the videos that youāve done. All that stuff can be distilled into a rag that an assistant can use to give answers to people.
Building an app out of that, having that app available for subscription, and building ties into the gear so that, if you have chronographs or kestrels or whatever, you can link into and build into doping situations. Thatās the thing. Thatās the next round here. Used to be a book or a website that you go to look up things. Having AI assistance or AI-driven retrieval in applications to solve issues and problems, especially in real time in the field at the point where you need it, that is where the value is, and youāve got that in spades.
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To what extent do you think localized/specific LLMs will be swallowed up by the big ones? An example is Go Hunt. Chat GPT completely replaced it for draw odds for me. They could make their own AI, but frankly I think Chat will just destroy it.
I mean itās a huge playing field. There will be consolidation and fall off as most are just bleeding cash. I think itās way too early to make any determination as to wear and what ends up on top. I would say this much that the people at the bleeding edge right now are running their own models. Thatās what Iām seeing and talking to people who are really doing it in agentic today. specifically with the release whether intended or not by Anthropic of all their code, the groups on the bleeding edge starting to run their own and theyāre running it with the likes of anthropicās code. And I think that this is whatās gonna become available overtime and youāll start seeing people running their own and not necessarily using services. Thatās what Iām seeing as a breakout. But it does take an investment. For the likes of the app that I mentioned here youād be running on server somewhere in the cloud most likely and youād be running APIās and be paying tokens on APIās and the smart move would be throttling yourself with inexpensive models for tasks that are the basic core work behind the scenes and reserve the expensive tokens for interfacing with the human in the limited amount that it would need to do. One would have to really build out what the token costs are for serving the re users and features and build It into the subscription fee. Itās easy to do that. . Unless you run with something open Source. And to your question open source has really been the driving factor for the largest moves and technology sonic I was a gambling man Iād put my money on one of those horses to be the top. being said lol the long winded answer is I really donāt know whoās gonna rise the top at this moment Iām using Claude in Claude code to develop Iām using Claude coworker. Iām also using Gemini and chat for other things. Iām personally not using anything outside the realm of the big boys The only constant is change and where weāre going be three months from now could be completely different. Itās a pretty wild ride
We could have such a good discussion about AIā¦huge topic, and itās so hard to say what will happen at this point. Whatās crazy is that this stuff is so expensive and power hungry, and none of these companies have yet charted a course to profitability. How much of the bubble will ultimately burst, when, and who is left standing at the end (as well as the question of whether govt gets involved and helps to either prop-up and/or subsume this tech, or at least picks winners and tilts the table so to speak) remains murky. Either way it does seem likely that govās will be some of the largest long-term customers and all of these companies are really competing for that (long term contracts). As Elon put it, Grok has to win or weāll all be ruled by a woke AI. But I also want to ask, āHey, how about not being ruled by any AI, is that on the menu? No?ā Am I crazy for thinking this?
No oneās crazy. I just would offer up that we should be leaving our political affiliations around this stuff to the side, because itās not political. Itās not designed to be political. Itās only as good as the information that it gets and how itās prompted. The models themselves are only as good as the prompts that create them.
One of the reasons Anthropic held back its newest model is that they really donāt think they can allow it, because it will create so many problems. Eventually they will, but the reality is that there is no way to truly bound this stuff. Itās not a Democrat versus Republican issue, a conservative versus liberal issue, or a Christian, Jewish, agnostic, atheist, anything against anything. If thereās anything to guard against and to take a look at, what we would consider winning is that it doesnāt annihilate us and cause us as a human species to go extinct.
If you have anything, itās binding together as a species time for the time of Star Trek, because itās not going to deliver you necessarily what you want. Itās going to deliver what is in its programming to deliver to you and how itās programmed to deliver it to you. There is no āwokeā AI. Iād offer up that this whole conversation about āwokeā versus ānon-wokeā should probably be relegated to the political forums, but in essence, thatās the thing thatās going to keep us from actually managing what happens with AI. Weāre going to be too busy worrying if weāre winning or theyāre winning, whoever we and they are on different sides.
This will grow to the point where we become obsolete and potentially extinct. These are real, real threats, not paranoia or conspiracy theories, as this stuff grows and it gets the capability to touch everything and itās controlling, running, and doing all the jobs of everything. It will make decisions. If you really work with this stuff, down in the nuts and bolts of building and creating, not just asking questions like that every single moment of the work that I do with it proves to me that it will just run off and do whatever it wants to do. All Iām doing is building simple little things for my business, like quoting systems, SEO generation, and integrations between my CRM and my business software and my Slack environment. Let me tell you something: without it, it would just blow everything up. Itās not woke; itās AI, and it has some governance to it, but we have to sit there and be the governors of it.Iād offer one more thing. Rest assured that the oligarchs and the multi-billionaires who are the ones holding the keys to all this have no concern whatsoever for us as a human race. All the chaos they ensue just enables them to grab more and more. AI is going to be the tool to do that, probably the biggest one of them all.
Donāt trust any of them. If youāre going to work with it, make sure that you are in control and that you are the one governing whatās happening. If youāre building systems, build in these safety gaps. Take a look at this quick vid this is what we coul dbe addressing if we were really wanting to do the best for society. we are rushing so fast and there will be unintended consequences thats a guarentee hope fully It wont be with the water supply or power grid etc..
For sure, agreed that the politicization of AI is terrible thing, as that serves the billionaire class above all. But itās telling that the assumption either way seems to be that someday AI will āruleā us. Sure hope not. Yes, avoiding the terminator solution is the main goal, and I think there are many other considerationsātechnology amplifies things, but the world we have now where our most important culture measuring stick is GDP and maximizing material/energy throughput is a recipe for other doom and gloom scenarios (depleting resources, mass extinction, stability of the biosphere, etc.). So applying AI to what exists today amplifies and speeds up this extraction and degradation, thatās no good too. Itās like we have to mature as a species. We could be stewards of the planet instead of parasites, there are great examples of regenerative ag, etc. all around us but itās still the minority and considered fringe. Will AI help us move to better stewardship and less material throughput or continue down the existing path? Itās a serious question for alignment moving forward. One among many. And how do these things get settled? If we can even steer the ship at all, which is another question, it is unavoidably a political fight I think eventually.
Itās a good question. I donāt know what we can do. I think itās really important for us to keep track of whether or not weāre barreling forward down a road without headlights on in the middle of the night, or if the road is well lit and weāre looking ahead so we donāt fall off a cliff or into a huge pothole at 80 mph. Thatās the real question.
The people who are at the forefront of this technology, who have come out of the biggest places, say this is their biggest fear: Where are the guardrails? Are the people who are employing these technologies at sensitive places aware of what theyāre creating? Because as Iām seeing what people are doing and the way this is being implemented, thereās a lot of zeal to get it moving because of what it does for us: how it reduces overhead and makes things faster. Thereās not the commensurate forethought about the consequences and unintended consequences from the way the stuff is being employed and built.
If you look at the big companies out there, theyāre fighting all regulation. I know we all love regulation for a lot of other things, and I donāt think itās necessarily governmental regulation. Itās about ethical regulation of the way the stuff is employed, so that there are guardrails to stave off problems that we donāt even know are coming. Itās the predictable nature: being able to predict where the problems are so we can avoid them and not just fall in the hole.
Once it gets as fast as itās going to get, it will do things at such a rate that you canāt undo them, or it would take a tremendous amount of effort and time to undo. In the example of the power grid going down, it would bring the kind of catastrophic chaos that society does not necessarily have the fortitude to manage. Thatās my opinion, and itās also the opinion of others.
Itās about how we get those types of controls and things in place, and then let it grow within the framework and guardrails of that. Thatās my point: itās not an if, itās a when. These things happen, and the question is where they happen.
Weāre littered with examples of it actually happening now, but in much less catastrophic ways: AI doing work for somebody unattended, burning through $30,000 worth of tokens in a loop overnight. That doesnāt kill society, right? Itās a great example of an unintended consequence unchecked. Thatās just for somebody doing information gathering, web searches, and content creation. What if itās the systems that are overseeing:
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nuclear reactors
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weapon systems
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the power grid
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airline air traffic control
All of these things, not even to say that the AI got malicious and wanted to get rid of human beings, but decided that the fastest and best thing is to do this or that had an unchecked unintended consequence. This is the main problem we face at this exact moment not in the future.
To bring the discussion back to this thread, Iām not worried about it giving me the wrong elevation and windage calculations based on a specific load that Iām trying to shoot at 1,200 yards. LOL. Well, maybe I should.
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so while we are at It
Yeahā¦ thatās freaky. And many people could make something like that in a garage. Weapons are going to be nearly unstoppable. Can you imagine just one pallet of these dropped off in a major city? Scary timesāespecially because I donāt know how you could even defend against that.
It really just begins there. So regulation is a four letter word in a lot of places, but ethics is the thing that really needs to be applied to this technology.